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Land-based production forecast
for Atlantic Salmon
Forecasting growth in land-based salmon farming
- Quarterly updates on global land-based salmon farming volumes and performance indicators such as harvest weights, superior share and biomass growth.
- Mid- and Long-term aquaculture production forecasts through 2034.
- Development in harvest volume by technology – split between RAS/FTS systems.
- Assessment on market development and regulatory frameworks impact on growth scenarios.
- Player mapping of large-scale facilities in production, under construction, or partly financed — forming the basis for a mid-term (2–5 year) forecast.
What it offers
Kontali’s Land-based Production Forecast provides a comprehensive view of how land-based salmon sector is evolving globally. From short-term operational milestones to long-term aquaculture production forecasts through 2034, the report combines verified company data, and Kontali’s proprietary modelling. It tracks realized harvest volumes and construction progress, identifying key trends and main industry players.
Why it matters
The land-based aquaculture sector is entering a decisive phase of growth, with production expected to increase. Reliable investment insights are crucial for informed decisions on capacity, technology, and sustainability. Kontali’s forecast provides clarity on where capital is moving, which projects are advancing, and what factors drive economic performance. It includes player mapping of large-scale facilities in production, under construction, or partly financed — forming the basis for a mid-term (2–5 year) forecast.
Who would benefit
Industry players and stakeholders, investors and financial institutions gain transparent insights for evaluating project risk. Salmon producers and developers can benchmark operational performance and assess technology maturity. Suppliers and aquaculture technology companies can anticipate future demand for RAS and FTS solutions. Regulators and policymakers access data-driven assessments of capacity growth and sector maturity across regions.
Our methodology
Kontali’s forecast is built on verified company data, extensive industry collaboration, and a proprietary aquaculture modelling. Facilities above 3,000 tonnes (HOG) are tracked to monitor construction progress, utilization rates, and biological performance. Data is segmented by technology type (RAS/FTS) and region, with quarterly updates reflecting new developments and regulatory monitoring.
Experience it yourself
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What makes Kontali’s land-based salmon forecast different from other aquaculture production reports?
Our approach integrates verified company data, construction progress, and technology assessments, cross-checked with industry networks. This ensures a balanced, evidence-based projection rather than relying solely on announced capacity.
How often is the land-based aquaculture forecast updated?
The product is updated quarterly, with interim updates if significant new information emerges (e.g., new permits, major project completions, or regulatory changes).
Why does the forecast cover both RAS and FTS/hybrid technologies?
RAS and FTS / hybrid represent the two main operational models driving the industry forward. While RAS offers flexibility in location and scalability, FTS provides cost and biological advantages where suitable water conditions exist. Understanding both is key to anticipating where growth will occur.
How does Kontali collect and verify land-based salmon farming data?
Kontali combines publicly available information from listed companies, government permits, and financial reports with direct industry collaboration and proprietary databases. Data points are continuously cross-checked against construction progress, biological results, and operational disclosures to ensure accuracy and transparency.
What insights can investors gain from the land-based aquaculture forecast?
Investors gain a clear view of sector maturity, capital intensity, and expected capacity growth. The forecast highlights which projects are advancing, where operational bottlenecks persist, and what external factors such as regulation, pricing, and technology will shape the long-term value creation.