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Mid-term Production foreacst
For global salmon production
Obtain data-driven forecasts for global Atlantic salmon production
- Provides detailed production and harvest forecasts up to 18 months ahead
- Combines biological production models with verified harvest and export data for accuracy
- Clearly distinguishes between confirmed production data and modelled scenarios
- Monitors regional growth trends, biological performance, and regulatory developments across producing regions
- Monthly updates with scenario revisions and expert commentary ensure real-time relevance
What it offers
Kontali’s Mid-term Production Forecast provides a clear and transparent outlook on Atlantic salmon production across all major farming regions. The model links current production data with expected harvest volumes, incorporating variables such as smolt release, biomass growth, mortality, health status, and environmental factors. Monthly updates ensure stakeholders receive consistent, data-supported forecasts for production capacity, supply changes, and regional performance.
Why it matters
Accurate mid-term supply forecasting is essential in the volatile global salmon market. Fluctuations in production, regulation, and biological performance can greatly influence pricing, trade, and investment decisions. The Mid-term Production Forecast provides producers, analysts, and investors with practical insights to anticipate regional shifts, assess risks, and optimise production strategies. By delivering comparable and transparent data, it supports well-informed planning for capacity allocation, pricing, and market positioning.
Who would benefit
Ideal for salmon producers, exporters, and aquaculture investors needing accurate mid-term outlooks. Also suitable for market analysts, consultants, and financial institutions evaluating production trends and risks. Feed suppliers, regulators, and logistics operators can track biomass growth and supply expectations to coordinate operations and strategic planning.
Our methodology
Kontali’s production models capture the biological and operational dynamics of salmon farming, from smolt release and growth to health, losses, and harvest. Each regional model is calibrated with verified statistics, proprietary data, and insights to ensure consistency and comparability. Forecasts distinguish between confirmed data and modelled scenario. Monthly updates incorporate the latest biological, environmental, and regulatory inputs, ensuring forecasts remain accurate and relevant.
Experience it yourself
Get started today. Request a demo or ask any questions you may have. Once our customer service team has been informed, we will get back to you!
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How frequently is the Mid-term Production Forecast updated?
The forecast is revised monthly, incorporating the latest biological, regulatory, and environmental data to ensure accuracy and timeliness.
What is the difference between confirmed data and forecasted scenarios?
Confirmed data are obtained from validated production and harvest statistics, while forecasted scenarios are created using simulation models based on biological and environmental variables.
How dependable are Kontali’s salmon production forecasts?
Kontali’s forecasts are based on calibrated biological models supported by feed sales, biomass data, company disclosures, and environmental monitoring, offering realistic and transparent outlooks.
What is the difference between confirmed data and forecasted scenarios?
Confirmed data are obtained from validated production and harvest statistics, while forecasted scenarios are created using simulation models based on biological and environmental variables.
How dependable are Kontali’s salmon production forecasts?
Kontali’s forecasts are based on calibrated biological models supported by feed sales, biomass data, company disclosures, and environmental monitoring, offering realistic and transparent outlooks.
How can the forecast support investment or market planning?
By offering visibility up to 18 months ahead, the forecast helps enable producers, analysts, and investors to anticipate production shifts, price developments, and capacity constraints, thereby improving risk management and capital allocation.