Add-on available for Kontali Edge
Price forecast 6 to 18 months
for Atlantic Salmon
Get access to our forward-looking salmon price and production forecasts to boost your operations
- Unbiased salmon price forecasts and benchmarks (6 months weekly / 12–18 months monthly)
- Base case, high, and low price simulations reflecting historical trends and volatility
- Gain insight in upcoming salmon harvest numbers and pricing for key salmon markets
- Quantitative data combined with qualitative analysis on supply and demand drivers to help you stay ahead of future trends
- Unique price simulations based on market supply rather than transactions (Euronext)
What it offers
Kontali’s unbiased price forecasts deliver a data-driven outlook on Atlantic salmon spot prices in Europe, grounded in historical price patterns, supply dynamics, and production forecasts. Each forecast includes a base case alongside high and low scenarios, allowing you to strategically decide between SPOT versus contract based trading with higher confidence. By combining quantitative modelling with qualitative industry insight, we offer both weekly (6 months) and monthly (12–18 months) forecasts that reflect current market conditions and forward-looking trends.
Why it matters
Salmon markets are highly volatile, shaped by biological uncertainty, seasonality, and global trade. Reliable forecasts reduce this uncertainty, helping stakeholders anticipate risks, adapt strategies, and negotiate contracts in a more beneficial way. Kontali’s analysis combines short-term market signals with longer-term production trends, supporting better decisions, higher margins and investments in an industry where even small supply and demand shifts can have outsized impacts.
Who would benefit
Our weekly & monthly Salmon price updates have use cases for professionals throughout the entire value chain: 1.) Producers and farmers can utilize the forecast to plan production cycles, optimize harvest and contract strategies, and secure greater predictability. 2.) Traders, exporters and processors gain support in managing forward contracts, hedging exposure, and strengthening their negotiation positioning. 3.) For retailers and horeca the forecast enables better procurement planning, negotiation of agreements, and cost management. 4.) Investors and analysts can assess long-term risks, opportunities, and performance within the aquaculture sector.
Our methodology
Kontali’s highly accurate price forecast is unique in the industry, combining historical price trends, harvest projections, and market expertise. We draw on the Nasdaq/Sitagri Salmon Index, covering 95% of FishPool settlements, and link this to supply dynamics influenced by biological growth, harvest patterns, and risk factors. Our model produces base, high, and low simulations, enhanced by our expert insights into non-indexed trades and regional dynamics. Kontali forecasts are updated continuously, assimilating our projections to shifting drivers for the industry in real time.
Two variants of forecasting
Choose an add-on based on the insights you need
Price forecast 6 months
Get immediate market clarity with our short-term price outlook focused on seasonal dynamics and near-term supply shifts. Weekly analysis and continuous monitoring deliver real-time insights for tactical decision-making in volatile salmon markets. Perfect for optimizing harvest timing, managing contracts, and navigating immediate market opportunities.
Price forecast 12-18 months
Plan beyond seasonal cycles with our extended outlook that bridges short-term signals with long-term strategy. Quarterly and annual price estimates help align production planning, investment decisions, and strategic positioning. Essential for stakeholders who need visibility into market trends that extend well beyond immediate seasonal fluctuations.
Experience it yourself
Get started today. Request a demo or ask any questions you may have. Once our customer service team has been informed, we will get back to you!
Why should I rely on Kontali’s price forecast instead of just following spot prices?
Spot prices give you today’s market snapshot, but they don’t help you prepare for what’s ahead. Kontali’s price forecast goes beyond current prices by combining historical data, production models, and market insights to project where prices are likely heading over the next six months. With weekly analysis and continuous monitoring, we provide early signals on supply and demand shifts, seasonal effects, and policy changes that impact global salmon markets. This allows you to reduce uncertainty, make informed decisions, and stay ahead in a volatile industry. Additionally, our objective graphs and models can be shown to clients to gain their confidence and justify more beneficial contracting.
What makes Kontali’s 12-18 months price forecast different from the 6-month outlook?
While the 6-month forecast focuses on short-term market dynamics and seasonal demand, the 12-18 month forecast provides a longer planning horizon. It incorporates quarterly and annual averages adjusted for harvest volumes, helping stakeholders align short-term signals with long-term strategy
Why does supply and demand analysis matter so much for salmon prices?
Salmon prices are highly sensitive to even small shifts in supply or demand. Understanding global production trends, trade flows, and regulatory conditions helps explain price volatility and supports more informed decisions.