Add-on available for Kontali Edge
Price forecast 12-18 months
for Atlantic Salmon
Get access to our 12-18 month forward-looking salmon price and production forecasts to enhance your operations
- Long-term price outlook over 12-18 months with quarterly and annual averages
- Base case, high, and low scenarios
- Global supply and demand analysis
- Quantitative models combined with analytical insights
- Monthly updates and continuous monitoring
What it offers
Kontali’s 12-18 months price forecast provides a longer-term outlook on salmon markets by combining historical price data, production forecasts, and market insights. It incorporates quarterly and annual price estimates building on Kontali’s price model in combination with analyst insights into global market drivers such as supply dynamics, regulatory changes, and trade flows. With base case, high, and low scenarios, the forecast gives stakeholders a structured framework for navigating an uncertain and volatile market environment.
Why it matters
Longer-term visibility on salmon prices is essential for planning beyond seasonal cycles. Reliable 12-18 months forecasts help users anticipate risks, adapt strategies, and manage expectations in an industry where even small shifts in supply and demand can have outsized impacts. Kontali’s analysis enables stakeholders to bridge short-term market signals with longer-term investment and strategic decisions.
Who would benefit
Producers and farmers can utilize the forecast to plan production cycles, optimize harvest and contract strategies, and secure greater predictability. Traders and exporters gain support in managing forward contracts, hedging exposure, and strengthening their market positioning. For retailers and processors, the forecast enables better procurement planning, negotiation of agreements, and cost management. Investors and analysts can assess long-term risks, opportunities, and performance within the aquaculture sector.
Our methodology
Kontali’s price forecast combines historical price data, production estimates, and market expertise. We draw on the Nasdaq/Sitagri Salmon Index, covering 95% of FishPool settlements, and link this to supply dynamics influenced by biological growth, harvest patterns, and risk factors. Our model produces base, high, and low scenarios, enhanced by Kontali’s qualitative insights into non-indexed trades and regional dynamics. Forecasts are updated continuously, reflecting weekly or monthly monitoring of production and market conditions.
Experience it yourself
Get started today. Request a demo or ask any questions you may have. Once our customer service team has been informed, we will get back to you!
What makes Kontali’s 12-18 months price forecast different from the 6-month outlook?
While the 6-month forecast focuses on short-term market dynamics and seasonal demand, the 12-18 month forecast provides a longer planning horizon. It incorporates quarterly and annual averages adjusted for harvest volumes, helping stakeholders align short-term signals with long-term strategy.
Why does supply and demand analysis matter so much for salmon prices?
Salmon prices are highly sensitive to even small shifts in supply or demand. Understanding global production trends, trade flows, and regulatory conditions helps explain price volatility and supports more informed decisions.
How often is the forecast updated?
The forecast is continuously monitored and updated with weekly market data, ensuring that new developments are quickly reflected in the analysis. The 12-18 months price forecast analysis is published on a monthly basis.